
| 出版说明. 序 chapter statistics success stories and cautionary tales 1.1 what is statistics? 1.2 seven statistical stories with morals 1.3 the common elements in the seven stories key terms exercises references chapter 2 turning data into information 2.1 raw data 2.2 types of data 2.3 summarizing one or two categorical variables 2.4 finding information in quantitative data 2.5 pictures for quantitative data 2.6 numerical summaries of quantitative variables 2.7 bell-shaped distributions of numbers key terms exercises references .chapter 3 gathering useful data 3.1 description or decision? using data wisely 3.2 speaking the language of research studies 3.3 designing a good experiment 3.4 designing a good observationalstudy 3.5 difficulties and disasters in experiments and observational studies key terms exercises references chapter 4 sampling: surveys and how to ask questions 4.1 the beauty of sampling 4.2 simple random sampling and randomization 4.3 other sampling methods 4.4 difficulties and disasters in sampling 4.5 how to ask survey questions key terms exercises references chapter 5 relationships between ouantitative variables 5.1 looking for patterns with scatterplots 5.2 describing linear patterns with a regression line 5.3 measuring strength and direction with correlation 5.4 why the answers may not make sense 5.5 correlation does not prove causation 6.1 displaying relationships between categcal variables 6.2 risk, relative risk, odds ratio, and increased risk 6.3 misleading statistics about risk 6.4 the effect of a third variable and simpson's paradox 6.5 assessing the statistical significance of a 2×2 table key terms exercises references chapter 7 probability 7.1 random circumstances 7.2 interpretations of probability 7.3 probability definitions and relationships 7.4 basic rules for finding probabilities 7.5 strategies for finding complicated probilities 7.6 using simulation to estimate probabilities 7.7 coincidences and intuitive judgments about probability key terms exercises references chapter 8 random variables 8.1 what is a random variable? 8.2 discrete random variables 8.3 expectations for random variables 8.4 binomial random variables 8.5 continuous random variables 8.6 normal random variables 8.7 approximating binomial distribution probabilities 8.8 sums, differences, and combinations of random variables key terms exercises chapter 9 means and proportions as random variables 9.1 understanding dissimilarity among samples 9.2 sampling distributions for sample proportions 9.3 what to expect of sample means 9.4 what to expect in other situations: central limit theorem 309 9.5 sampling distribution for any statistic 9.6 standardized statistics 9.7 student's t-distribution: replacing σwith s 9.8 statistical inference key terms exercises references chapter 10 estimating proportions with confidence.. 10.1 the language and notation of estimation 10.2 margin of error 10.3 confidence intervals 10.4 calculating a margin of error for 95% confidence 10.5 general theory of confidence intervals for a proportion 10.6 choosing a sample size for a survey 10.7 using confidence intervals to guide decisions key terms exercises references chapter 11 testing hypotheses about proportions 11.1 formulating hypothesis statements 11.2 the logic of hypothesis testing: what if the null is true? 11.3 reaching a conclusion about the two hypotheses 11.4 testing hypotheses about a proportion 11.5 the role of sample size in statistical significance 11.6 real importance versus statistical significance 11.1 what can go wrong: the two types of errors key terms exercises references chapter 12 more about confidence intervals 12.1 examples of different estimation situations 12.2 standard errors 12.3 approximate 95% confidence intervals 12.4 general confidence intervals for one mean or paired data 12.5 general confidence intervals for the difference betw two means (independent samples) 12.6 the difference between two proportions (independent samples) 12.7 understanding any confidence interval key terms exercises references chapter 13 more about significance tests 13.1 the general ideas of significance testing 13.2 testing hypotheses about one mean or paired data 13.3 testing the difference between two means (independent samples) 13.4 testing the difference between two population proportions 13.5 the relationship between significance tests and confidence intervals 13,6 choosing an'appropriate inference procedure 13.7 the two types of errors and their probabilities 13.8 effect size 13.9 evaluating significance in research reports summary of procedures for hypothesis tests key terms exercises references chapter 14 more about regression 14.1 sample and population regression models 14.2 estimating the standard deviation for regression 14.3 inference about the linear regression relationship 14.4 predicting the value of y for an individual 14.5 estimating the mean y at a specified x 14.6 checking conditions for using regression models for inference key terms exercises references chapter 15 more about categorical variables 15.1 the chi-square test for two-way tables 15.2 analyzing 2 ~ 2 tables 15.3 testing hypotheses about one categorical variable: goodness of fit key terms exercises references chapter 16 analysis of variance 16.1 comparing means with an anova f-test 16.2 details of one-way analysis of variance 16.3 other methods'for comparing populations 16.4 two-way analysis of variance key terms exercises references chapter 17 turning information into wisdom 17.1 beyond the data 17.2 transforming uncertainty into wisdom 17.3 making personal decisions 17.4 control of societal risks 17.5 understanding our world 17.6 getting to know you 17.1 words to the wise exercises references appendix of tables answers to selected exercises index supplemental topic 1 additional discrete random variables supplemental topic 2 nonpammetric tests of hypotheses supplemental topic 3 multiple regression supplemental topic 4 two-way analysis of variance supplemental topic 5 ethics... |
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