
最 低 价:¥122.40
1.The eternal truth of this updated investment classic,
originally published in 1973, is simple: you can't beat the market.
Well, technically, you can beat the market, but not profitably,
because the transaction costs of your brilliant trading will eat up
the extra returns. You can also beat the market by pure luck-but
you can't deliberately beat the market, because you can't predict
future stock prices. You can't predict them by divining Wall
Street's crowd psychology; or by charting trends in stock prices;
or by doing lots of research on companies' business prospects. You
can't predict them from hemlines (though there's been "some
evidence" for correlation between skirt length and market prices in
the past, Malkiel poo-poos future possibilities) or Super Bowl
winners (this, he says, makes "no sense"). In fact, according to
the efficient market theory, which states that all knowable
information about a stock's value is already reflected in its share
price, you can't predict them at all. Malkiel, a Princeton
economist and professional investor, backs it all up with
statistics, charts and studies, and gives an entertaining review of
the sorry history of market bubbles, panics and delusions of
omniscience, from the Dutch tulip craze to the Beardstown Ladies.
This edition looks at new wrinkles (it seems you can't beat the
market by buying companies with ".com" in the name), and provides a
lucid overview of novel investment vehicles. Standing by his
notorious claim that "a blindfolded chimpanzee throwing darts" at
the NYSE listings could pick stocks as well as the Wall Street
pros, Malkiel advises investors to "buy and hold" a diversified
portfolio heavy on index funds that passively mirror the market,
which usually out-perform actively managed funds. His witty,
acerbic style and persuasive arguments will delight readers but,
alas, leave Wall Street unmoved. |
Dr. Burton G. Malkiel, the Chemical Bank Chairman's Professor of Economics at Princeton University, is the author of the widely read investment book, A Random Walk Down Wall Street.Dr. Malkiel has long held professorships in economics at Princeton, where he was also chairman of the Economics Department. He was dean of the Yale School of Management and William S. Beinecke Professor of Management Studies there from 1981.He is a past appointee to the President's Council of Economic Advisors. In addition, he currently serves or has served on the boards of several financial corporations including Prudential Financial and the Vanguard Group. He has also served on several investment management boards including the Investment Committee for the American Philosophical Association. |
商品评论(0条)