FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS（ISBN=9780812975215）

　　“[Taleb is] Wall Street’s principal dissident. . . . [Fooled By Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther’s ninety-nine theses were to the Catholic Church.”
　　–Malcolm Gladwell, The New Yorker
　　Finally in paperback, the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about the markets and the world.This book is about luck: more precisely how we perceive luck in our personal and professional experiences.
　　Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of business–Fooled by Randomness is an irreverent, iconoclastic, eye-opening, and endlessly entertaining exploration of one of the least understood forces in all of our lives.

　　Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the founder of Empirica Capital LLC, a crisis-hunting hedge fund operator, and a fellow at the Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences of New York University. He has held a variety of derivative trading positions in New York and London and worked as an independent floor trader in Chicago. Taleb was inducted in February 2001 in the Derivatives Strategy Hall of Fame.
　　Taleb received an M.B.A. from the Wharton School and a Ph.D. from the University of Paris Dauphine. He is the author of Dynamic Hedging: Managing Vanilla and Exotic Options (Wiley, 1997).

Pt. I Solon's warning
1 If you're so rich, why aren't you so smart?
2 A bizarre accounting method
3 A mathematical meditation on history
4 Randomness, nonsense, and the scientific intellectual
5 Survival of the least fit - can evolution be fooled by randomness?
6 Skewness and asymmetry
7 The problem of induction
Pt. II Monkeys on typewriters
8 Too many millionaires next door
9 It is easier to buy and sell than fry an egg
10 Loser takes all - on the nonlinearities of life
11 Randomness and our mind : we are probability blind
Pt. III Wax in my ears
12 Gamblers' ticks and pigeons in a box
13 Carneades comes to Rome : on probability and skepticism
14 Bacchus abandons antony
Epilogue : Solon told you
Postscript : three afterthoughts in the shower