INTRODUCTIoN
PART l.TWO SYSTEMS
1.THE CHARACTERS oF THE SToRY
2.ATTENTl0N AND EFFORT
3.THE LAZY CoNTROLLER
4.THE ASSOCIATIVE MACHINE
5.COGNITIVE EASE
6.NoRMS，SURPRISES，AND CAUSES
7.A MACHINE FOR JUMPING TO CoNCLUSIONS
8.HOW JUDGMENTS HAPPEN
9.ANSWERING AN EASIER OUESTION
PART|1.HEURISTlCS AND BlASES
10.THE LAW OF SMALL NUMBERS
11.ANCHORS
12.THE SCIENCE OF AVAILABILITY
13.AVAILABILITY，EMOTIoN，AND RISK
14.TOM W’S SpECIALTY
1 5.LINDA：LESS IS MoRE
16.CAUSES TRUMP STATISTICS
17.REGRESSION To THE MEAN
18.TAMING INTUITIVE PREDICTl0NS
……
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