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| PETER L.BERNSTEIN is President of Peter L.Bernstein，Inc.，economic consultants to institutional advisors and corporations.His semimonthly analysis of the capital markets and the real economy，Economics and Portfolio Strategy，is read by managers and owne |
| Acknowledgments Introduction TO 1200：BEGINNINGS 1.The Winds of the Greeks and the Role of the Dice 2.As Easy as Ⅰ，Ⅱ，Ⅲ 1200-1700：A THOUSAND OUTSTANDING FACTS 3.The Renaissance Gambler 4.The French Connection 5.The Remarkable Notions of the Remarkable Notions Man 1700-1900：MEASUREMENT UNLIMITED 6.Considering the Nature of Man 7.The Search for Moral Certainty 8.The Supreme Law of Unreason 9.The Man with the Sprained Brain 10.Peapods and Perils 11.The Fabric of Felicity 1900-1960：CLOUDS OF VAGUENESS AND THE DEMAND FOR PRECISION 12.The Measure of Our Ignorance 13.The Radically Distinct Notion 14.The Man Who Counted Everything Except Calories 15.The Strange Case of the Anonymous Stockbroker DEGREES OF BELIEF EXPLORING UNCERTAINTY 16.The Failure of Invariance 17.The Theory Police 18.The Fantastic System of Side Bets 19.Awaiting the Wildness Notes Bibliography Name Index Subject Index |
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